Archive - Navigating the Vortex

Nato's summit in The Hague is a critical test for the transatlantic alliance

Getting Trump into the room and keeping him there will be seen as a victory.

Jun 24 •

6:47

Amid an escalating air and ground war, talks between Russia and Ukraine yield no progress

By Tetyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff

Jun 4 •

Navigating the Vortex

7:20

May 2025

Berlin steps up to replace Washington as guarantor of European security

Critical first steps have been taken by the new German government but much remains to be done to rise to the twin challenges of Trump and Putin.

May 29 •

7:10

For the sake of a reset with Russia, Trump has abandoned efforts to mediate peace in Ukraine

But getting a deal with Putin over the line will be a pyrrhic victory.

May 20 •

6:59

Territorial concessions, and who makes them, are central to any Ukraine peace deal — and to Russia’s long-term agenda

By Tetyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff

May 15 •

7:56

Russia's partnership with China, Iran, and North Korea is deepening

But is this a sign of Moscow's strength or an indication of weakness?

May 14 •

7:21

Europe begins to stand on its own feet

The continent has an opportunity – and an obligation – to carve out a more secure and independent space in a hostile global environment.

May 9 •

7:31

Zelenskyy has pulled off a tactical win for Ukraine

The minerals deal buys Kyiv more time to let Trump realise that Putin is playing him.

May 7 •

7:02

April 2025

As Europe releases proposals for a ceasefire in Ukraine, Trump is falling into the trap of Munich 1938

By Tetyana Malyarenko and Stefan Wolff

Apr 26 •

7:42

Trump is still the only one with a chance of getting Ukraine and Russia to the table

But a time-limited, shaky ceasefire is likely the best he will achieve.

Apr 25 •

7:39

The path to peace in Ukraine narrows down further — even if Trump secures a ceasefire

By Tetyana Malyarenko & Stefan Wolff

Apr 22 •

8:08

Washington and Moscow continue to squabble over the Arctic

With Norway's Svalbard increasingly in Russia's crosshairs, it's no longer just about Greenland.

Apr 5 •

9:43

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