Navigating the Vortex
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In a Trumpian world, Europe needs to assume greater responsibility for its own defence
Otherwise, the prospects for peace on the continent are slim at best.
2 hrs ago
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Stefan Wolff
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6:01
January 2025
Trump’s vision of a peace deal for Ukraine looks increasingly just like a plan for a ceasefire
And it’s not even clear if Kyiv or Moscow are going to play ball.
Jan 28
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Stefan Wolff
1
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7:17
What Trump wants in Latin America isn’t just the Panama Canal
But bullying neighbours is unlikely to help the US to outcompete China.
Jan 25
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Stefan Wolff
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7:47
Trump signals how he will start pushing for a new world order in his first 100 days
But it is not clear whether a return to stable spheres of influence for great powers will even be possible let alone desirable.
Jan 18
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Stefan Wolff
1
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8:39
Trump’s Greenland bid is really about control of the Arctic and the coming battle with China
No great power in history has been able to go it alone forever – and taking possession of Greenland is unlikely to change this.
Jan 10
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Stefan Wolff
1
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6:23
With Russian gas pipelines through Ukraine turned off, the political claws are coming out
But European populists may come to regret that they undermine western institutions at Putin’s behest.
Jan 9
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Stefan Wolff
2
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6:35
Is Russia losing the energy war?
Ukraine's closure of the last over-land Gazprom pipeline to Europe will diminish Russia’s energy leverage and hurt its war effort.
Jan 5
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Stefan Wolff
1
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8:06
Is Russia losing the energy war?
Ukraine's closure of Gazprom pipeline will diminish Russia’s energy leverage and hurt its war effort.
Jan 4
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Stefan Wolff
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Is Russia losing the energy war?
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December 2024
As 2025 approaches, Kyiv is left with few good options
Moscow and Brussels agree that nothing short of victory will do. But Trump 2.0 could yet change their calculations.
Dec 20, 2024
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Stefan Wolff
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As 2025 approaches, Kyiv is left with few good options
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Is the war in Ukraine headed towards an endgame?
After nearly three years of war, a ceasefire and peace talks are more likely than ever, but could turn out to bring only temporary relief for Ukraine.
Dec 17, 2024
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Stefan Wolff
2
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Is the war in Ukraine headed towards an endgame?
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Why Trump is unlikely to get Xi's help in making peace in Ukraine
Keeping the war in Ukraine going is the more rational choice for Beijing to make.
Dec 15, 2024
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Navigating the Vortex
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Why Trump is unlikely to get Xi's help in making peace in Ukraine
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Status diminished?
The fall of Assad and Putin’s great-power ambitions for Russia
Dec 13, 2024
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Stefan Wolff
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Status diminished?
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