Archive - Navigating the Vortex

Every time Putin calls, Trump caves in and the Ukraine war grinds on

Listen now (6 mins) | The Russian president is still convinced that Moscow can defeat Ukraine militarily.

Oct 20 • Stefan Wolff

Why Trump is unlikely to get Xi's help in making peace in Ukraine

Keeping the war in Ukraine going is the more rational choice for Beijing to make.

Dec 15, 2024 • Navigating the Vortex

Is the war in Ukraine headed towards an endgame?

After nearly three years of war, a ceasefire and peace talks are more likely than ever, but could turn out to bring only temporary relief for Ukraine.

Dec 17, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

China does just enough to support Russia, just as the West does with Ukraine

Listen now (7 mins) | Beijing is officially neutral in the war against Ukraine, but it has been crucial in preventing Russia’s international isolation.

Nov 16 • Stefan Wolff

‘Victory plan’ or not, Zelenskyy’s allies may have passed their peak in supporting Ukraine

Pressure on Ukraine is increasing on and off the battlefield, and it is increasingly difficult to see how the country will prevail in its war against…

Oct 22, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

Away from the battlefield, the diplomatic wrangling in the Ukraine war hots up

Narendra Modi in Kyiv, Li Qiang in Moscow, and a Nato-Ukraine council emergency meeting demonstrate that there is still much to play for—on and off the…

Aug 28, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: what China gains from acting as peacemaker

China’s approach to ending the Ukraine war will determine the future of the European security order.

Apr 28, 2023 • Stefan Wolff

One-third of Ukrainians would give up land for peace – but it’s not as simple as that

All pathways to peace in Ukraine lead through Washington and Beijing

Aug 1, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

Ukraine: opening EU accession talks is an important boost for Zelensky despite Orbán’s obstruction

The EU decision to open negotiations with Ukraine is good news for President Zelensky, even if it is not the full package he wanted.

Dec 16, 2023 • Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: failed African peace mission underscores need for more powerful political and military pressure on Putin

Despite a procession of peace plans for Ukraine, irreconcilable divisions remain between Kyiv and Moscow.

Jun 23, 2023 • Stefan Wolff

Biden's — and Zelenskyy's — last throw of the dice?

If the outgoing US president's gamble pays off, he will have done Ukraine a final favour.

Nov 19, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: $60 billion in US military aid a major morale boost but no certain path to victory

The promised weapons will give Ukraine some breathing space on the battlefield, but victory against Russia is far from assured.

Apr 22, 2024 • Stefan Wolff

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