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Ukraine war: $60 billion in US military aid a major morale boost but no certain path to victory
The promised weapons will give Ukraine some breathing space on the battlefield, but victory against Russia is far from assured. It took months of delays…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
China’s new world order: clues from Xi’s meeting with Germany's Scholz
President Xi is looking to play a wider international role, meetings with other national leaders suggest. There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Israel may have had the ‘last word’ with reported attack on Iran, but Netanyahu is no clear winner
Anything that distracts from the war in Gaza and eases international pressure on Israel cannot be in Iran’s interest. Overnight on Friday (Apr 19…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
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Is a Russian veto on leadership about to provoke the downfall of the OSCE?
 • Stefan Wolff
Italian Corporate Governance, Global Impact of a US Debt Default, Sudan to Ukraine, and Eurovision
 • Lucy P. Marcus and Stefan Wolff
Ukraine war: what China gains from acting as peacemaker
 • Stefan Wolff
Ukraine war: talks in Jeddah give Kyiv an opportunity to push its ten-point plan to Brics and the global south
 • Stefan Wolff
Europe-China relations: still just muddling through?
 • Stefan Wolff and Lucy P. Marcus
Xi-Putin meeting: here’s what it says about their current, and future, relationship
 • Stefan Wolff
Ukraine is losing the war and the west faces a stark choice: help now or face a resurgent and aggressive Russia
Russia is making steady territorial gains in advance of a possible spring offensive. Without western aid Ukraine has few air defences left.
 • 
Stefan Wolff
A wider war in the Middle East is a risky and self-serving bet for Israel
Iran demonstrated its ability to strike Israel, and Israel demonstrated its air defence capabilities. Whether both sides can move on depends on their…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Xi and Biden spoke on the phone for 105 minutes: what does this say about their relationship?
US president, Joe Biden, and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jingping, talked on the phone this week for the first time since meeting in November. While the…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Russia continues its mischief-making in Moldova's Transnistrian region
In mid-February, the leader of Moldova’s breakaway region of Transnistria, Vadim Krasnoselsky, summoned deputies “of all levels of the Pridnestrovian…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
What will Putin do after the deadly Moscow concert hall attack?
The carnage at the Crocus City Hall casts a shadow on the FSB and its ability to protect ordinary Russians from terrorism and raises the spectre of more…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Ukraine war: ten years after Putin annexed Crimea, Russia’s grip on the peninsula looks shaky
While Ukraine’s fortunes on the battlefield have been mixed, its operations in Crimea and the Black Sea have been rather more successful.
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Two years on: Russia's aggression has left the OSCE in peril
Despite its many problems, the OSCE is worthy of saving -- and of reinvestment
 • 
Stefan Wolff
The West is at a crossroads in Ukraine: double down on aid to Kyiv, accept a compromise deal, or face humiliation by Russia
In the summer and autumn of 2022, there was much discussion about finding an “off-ramp” to allow Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, a face-saving way…
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Ukraine needs a fundamental rethink of its strategy, not just a reshuffle of military leadership
By Stefan Wolff and Tetyana Malyarenko
 • 
Stefan Wolff
Navigating the Vortex
Navigating the Vortex
Big-picture geopolitical and geoeconomic commentary with an ethical compass.
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